RT info:eu-repo/semantics/article
T1 The gravity model of migration: the successful comeback of an ageing superstar in regional science
A1 Poot, Jacques
A1 Alimi, Omoniyi
A1 Cameron, Michael P.
A1 Maré, David Christopher
K1 Gravity model
K1 Migration flows
K1 Spatial interaction
K1 Parameter stability
K1 Distance deterrence measurement
K1 Modelo de gravedad
K1 Flujos migratorios
K1 Interacción espacial
K1 Medición de parámetros de estabilidad
K1 Medición de la disuasión por la distancia
K1 Economía
K1 Economics
K1 Geografía
K1 Geography
K1 Sociología
K1 Sociology
AB For at least half a century, and building on observations first made a century earlier, the gravity model has been the most commonly-used paradigm for understanding gross migration flows between regions. This model owes its success to, firstly, its intuitive consistency with migration theories; secondly, ease of estimation in its simplest form; and, thirdly, goodness of fit in most applications. While fitting gravity models of aggregate migration flows started taking backstage to microdata analysis in the 1980s, a recent comeback has resulted from increasing applications to international migration and from the emergence of statistical theories appropriate for studying spatial interaction. In this paper we review the status quo and argue for greater integration of internal and international migration modelling. Additionally we revisit the issues of parameter stability and distance deterrence measurement by means of a New Zealand case study. We argue that gravity modelling of migration has a promising future in a multi-regional stochastic population projection system —an area in which the model has been to date surprisingly underutilised. We conclude with outlining current challenges and opportunities in this field.
PB Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional (AECR)
SN 2340-2717
YR 2016
FD 2016-12
LK http://hdl.handle.net/10017/27639
UL http://hdl.handle.net/10017/27639
LA eng
DS MINDS@UW
RD 25-abr-2024