Risk of tree species decline under aridification

Abstract

The risk of decline due to climate change varies among different tree species, resulting in both winners and losers. However, quantifying the risk of species decline remains a challenging task, particularly due to regional variability in the rate of climate change. Additionally, the diverse evolutionary histories of species have resulted in a variety of distributions, forms, and functions, leading to diverse responses to climate. Cartereau et al. unravel these complexities by focusing on the vulnerability and exposure of species to global change, and quantify species' risk of decline due to aridification in warm drylands by the end of this century.