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dc.contributor.authorSaiz Villanueva, María Elena 
dc.contributor.authorCid Tortuero, Consuelo 
dc.contributor.authorCerrato Montalbán, Yolanda 
dc.date.accessioned2017-01-25T18:55:20Z
dc.date.available2017-01-25T18:55:20Z
dc.date.issued2008-12-08
dc.identifier.bibliographicCitationAnnales Geophysicae, 2008, v. 26, n. 12, p. 3989-3998en
dc.identifier.issn0992-7689
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10017/28022
dc.description.abstractSouthward interplanetary magnetic fields are considered traces of geoeffectiveness since they are a main agent of magnetic reconnection of solar wind and magnetosphere. The first part of this work revises the ability to forecast intense geomagnetic activity using different procedures available in the literature. The study shows that current methods do not succeed in making confident predictions. This fact led us to develop a new forecasting procedure, which provides trustworthy results in predicting large variations of Dst index over a sample of 10 years of observations and is based on the value Bz only. The proposed forecasting method appears as a worthy tool for space weather purposes because it is not affected by the lack of solar wind plasma data, which usually occurs during severe geomagnetic activity. Moreover, the results obtained guide us to provide a new interpretation of the physical mechanisms involved in the interaction between the solar wind and the magnetosphere using Faraday's law.en
dc.description.sponsorshipComisión Interministerial de Ciencia y Tecnología (CICYT)es_ES
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.language.isoengen
dc.publisherEuropean Geosciences Unionen
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0)en
dc.rights(c) European Geosciences Union, 2008en
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
dc.subjectInterplanetary magnetic fieldsen
dc.subjectSolar windmagnetosphere interactionsen
dc.subjectStorms and substormsen
dc.titleForecasting intense geomagnetic activity using interplanetary magnetic field dataen
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleen
dc.subject.ecienciaCienciaes_ES
dc.subject.ecienciaFísicaes_ES
dc.subject.ecienciaPhysicsen
dc.contributor.affiliationUniversidad de Alcalá. Departamento de Física y Matemáticas. Unidad Docente de Físicaes_ES
dc.date.updated2017-01-24T14:47:45Z
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://dx.doi.org/10.5194/angeo-26-3989-2008
dc.type.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionen
dc.identifier.doi10.5194/angeo-26-3989-2008
dc.relation.projectIDESP 2005-07290-C02-01 (Comisión Interministerial de Ciencia y Tecnología-CICYT)
dc.relation.projectIDESP 2006-08459 (Comisión Interministerial de Ciencia y Tecnología-CICYT)es_ES
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen
dc.identifier.uxxiAR/0000013498
dc.identifier.publicationtitleAnnales Geophysicaeen
dc.identifier.publicationvolume26
dc.identifier.publicationlastpage3998
dc.identifier.publicationissue12
dc.identifier.publicationfirstpage3989


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