%0 Journal Article 
%A Palma Sánchez, Alejandro
%T Nowcasting de la tasa de crecimiento del PIB de España
%D 2020
%U http://hdl.handle.net/10017/50450
%X In this paper, a large-scale dynamic factor model is carried out to calculate short-term predictions of the Spanish GDP growth rate in real time. With this model, a Nowcasting exercise is carried out in pseudo-real time to make predictions, during the period 2015-2019, of the Spanish GDP growth rate. Furthermore, a prediction comparison of this model is performed with a random walk model and an ARIMA model, resulting in the winning DFM. It is concluded that the model may be adequate for making predictions of the Spanish GDP.

%K GDP
%K Dynamic factor model
%K Nowcasting
%K Principal components
%K Forecast
%K Economics indicators
%K PIB
%K Modelo de factores dinámicos
%K Componentes principales
%K Predicción
%K Indicadores económicos
%K Economía
%K Economics
%~ Biblioteca Universidad de Alcala